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Friday, August 05, 2005


I LOVE LOOKING LIKE A GENIUS

This spring, I told everyone I was going to sell my house in South Florida and get the fuck out of that forsaken third-world rathole, not because it was a third-world rathole, but because I felt in my bones that the weather was gonna get nastier and nastier and only an insane rat would go down with that ship.

My friends laughed.

That was then.

Today, right smack in the middle of hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center very quietly doubled its forecast numbers. From the NOAA Climate Prediction Center:

"The updated outlook calls for an extremely active season, with an expected seasonal total of 18-21 tropical storms (mean is 10), with 9-11 becoming hurricanes (mean is 6), and 5-7 of these becoming major hurricanes (mean is 2-3). The likely range of the ACE index for the season as a whole is 180%-270% of the median."

This little gem is buried in the report:

"Given the forecast that the remainder of the season will be very active, it is imperative that residents and government officials in hurricane-vulnerable communities have a hurricane preparedness plan in place."

No duh.

The escrow on my house closes in 10 days.

The forecast does not currently show any major activity headed right for my house, although two systems are churning in the Atlantic. After escrow goes through, I could care less, let it all slide into the sea. Oh, and take all those retarded ratfuck flagwaving Bushlovers with it. Between them and the 'we shit where we sleep' thirdworlders, the whole place is a cesspool that needs a good flushing.

Here's a news article from today:

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Weather Service Boosts Hurricane Forecast

WASHINGTON, AP - The government on Tuesday sharply boosted its forecast for hurricanes this season, predicting 18 to 21 tropical storms by the end of November.

That's up from a forecast in May of 12 to 15 tropical storms, seven to nine of them becoming hurricanes.

There have already been seven named storms this year, two of them hurricanes. That means the remainder of the year could see 11 to 14 more storms, including seven to nine more hurricanes, Weather Service Director David L. Johnson said at a briefing.

Hurricane forecaster Gerry Bell the combination of warmer waters, low wind shear and low pressure, as well as the jet stream, favor storm formation.

Hurricanes derive their energy from warm water. The sea surface is two to three degrees warmer than normal for this time of year, Bell noted.

Wind shear, a change in wind direction with altitude, can suppress these storms and lack of shear allows them to form. The jet stream is in place to guide disturbances moving off the coast of Africa, he added.

Weather Service officials urged preparedness on the part of people living in hurricane-prone areas.

Bell said hurricanes have increased since 1995. He said there is a cycle between more and less active hurricane seasons which lasts for decades. The nation's coastlines had major population increases during the decades with low storm activity before 1995, he noted.

A new analysis by Kerry Emmanuel at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology suggests global warming is making tropical storms stronger.

However, that report did not suggest it is generating more storms and Bell said it isn't possible to determine such an effect because the cycles of more and fewer storms are so strong.

posted by JDoe at 06:24:37 PM | link |